■Planning motivation
11month9, Zhang Ping, director of the National siteseabet betting and Reform Commission, stated for the first time that this yearCPIwill exceed3%"Red Line"。This blockbuster data has triggered unprecedented public attention on siteseabet betting issues。
Faced with high siteseabet betting，Government departments frequently issue “control prescriptions”。11month20日，The State Council’s “16 National Articles” came out，The beginning of siteseabet betting stabilization。Next，From ministries to localities，They are all introducing corresponding policies and measures。One of the "prescriptions" clearly states: Temporary siteseabet betting intervention measures for important daily necessities and production materials when necessary。10天后，A series of control combination punches have obvious effects。The latest data released by the Ministry of Commerce，Last week(11month22日-28日)，36large and medium-sized cities18The wholesale siteseabet betting of main vegetables are relatively high11Falling back at the beginning of the month9.1%。
For this，This newspaper launches a special set of reports，Analysis of the major drivers of this round of siteseabet betting increases，Such as excess liquidity、Hoarding、High circulation costs。We will consider the circulation cost、Detailed investigation into the dilemmas faced by siteseabet betting intervention。
■Dynamics
Recently，Ministries and commissions have taken measures to stabilize siteseabet betting。After the National Development and Reform Commission issued a number of measures in succession，Last week with COFCO、Yihai Kerry、Chinatex Group and Jiusan Cereals and Oils Group4Companies held a symposium and requested4Small packaged cooking siteseabet betting from a company4Don’t increase the siteseabet betting within a month.
The Ministry of Commerce issued a notice requiring further standardization and reduction of market stall fees and supermarket entry fees，Accelerate the construction of a modern circulation system for agricultural products，Reduce circulation links，Reduce circulation costs。
All regions have also taken measures to stabilize siteseabet betting.1month27Sunday, Beijing ahead of schedule4Start implementing the State Council’s policy requirements on improving green channels for the transportation of fresh agricultural products。Beijing18Toll roads enable free transportation of agricultural products。Increase in Beijing’s free expressway of agricultural products4varieties，Potato respectively、Sweet potato、Fresh corn、Flowers。
Guiyang siteseabet betting Bureau has recently visited the farmers’ market、Supermarket、Student Canteen、Discovered while inspecting the diesel market and accepting complaints and reports，Some farmers’ markets have increased stall fees without authorization，A university raises the siteseabet betting of food in the student cafeteria，A gas station illegally sells diesel at a high siteseabet betting。After verification by law enforcement officials，These three violations were stopped in time。
■Measures
Edible siteseabet betting4No siteseabet betting increase within a month
Recently, the National siteseabet betting and Reform Commission requires4Small packaged cooking siteseabet betting from a company4Don’t increase the siteseabet betting within a month.
This situation is different from2008The years are very similar。At that time，Domestic edible siteseabet betting also continues to soar，Finally, the National Development and Reform Commission took action to curb siteseabet betting prices，National Development and Reform Commission summons COFCO、Yihai Kerry、Jiusan Group and Luhua Group4Companies，Require stable supply，No siteseabet betting increase。If the company increases prices，Need to apply to the National Development and Reform Commission。
Two years later，National siteseabet betting and Reform Commission launches surveillance again。However，COFCO Group participating in the meeting this time、Yihai Kerry、Jiusan Group remains unchanged，Luhua Group who attended the last meeting，Replaced by the central enterprise Chinatex Group。
summoned4Companies，is the main domestic supplier of small package edible siteseabet betting。Among them，COFCO and Yihai Kerry occupy approximately 10% of the small package edible siteseabet betting market60%’s share。A edible siteseabet betting production company told reporters，The National Development and Reform Commission only needs to monitor the prices of large enterprises，In fact, it monitors the entire edible siteseabet betting market。Previously，Affected by the rising prices of imported soybeans，Driving domestic edible siteseabet betting prices to rise。
Before the National Development and Reform Commission’s siteseabet betting intervention，Small packaged cooking oil has experienced a round of nationwide siteseabet betting increases。10In late March, COFCO, Yihai Kerry, etc. raised siteseabet betting respectively10%About.
However，The current siteseabet betting of small package cooking oil has begun to fall back。The reporter learned from the Yuquan Road Grain and Oil Wholesale Market, the main grain and oil wholesale market in Beijing，Arowana、Fu Linmen and other small package oil wholesale siteseabet betting per box (5liter×4barrel) dropped5To10Yuan. Among them, the wholesale siteseabet betting of Arowana soybean oil per box is210yuan, relatively11month11Daily decline8yuan; the wholesale siteseabet betting of Fulinmen soybean oil per box is205Yuan, down5Yuan.
For the National Development and Reform Commission to limit siteseabet betting increases，The person in charge of the aforementioned grain and oil production company told reporters，The country requires stable prices，Enterprise is willing to support，But，In the current situation where raw material prices remain high，This is not a long-term solution。The person in charge of the company said: "The company also has its own difficulties，Raw materials are rising，What to do if the product does not increase？”
“After siteseabet betting intervention，There will be a hysteresis effect，Finally, it will be borne by the enterprise，If this continues, a number of companies will die。Then，There will also be a shortage of edible oil。"The person in charge of a certain enterprise said。
Of course，When imposing siteseabet betting limits on the above-mentioned companies，The state has also given appropriate policy preferences to its participation in the national temporary reserve oil auction。Last week，When the country sells off vegetable oil reserves for the second time，Explicitly stipulated，Enterprises participating in the auction must be recommended by local grain bureaus，COFCO、China Textile、Yihai this3A large siteseabet betting processing enterprise was directly selected。Also，In order to stabilize market prices，The country will also be12month3Daily auction temporary storage of soybeans30Ten thousand tons. according to"21Century Economic Report》
■Market
Control measures have achieved obvious results
Yesterday，Monitoring data forwarded by the National siteseabet betting and Reform Commission to the Ministry of Commerce，Last week (11month22Sunday28日）, nationwide36large and medium-sized cities18The average wholesale siteseabet betting of major vegetables is3.50yuan/Kilograms, down from the previous week5.9%, more11Falling back at the beginning of the month9.1%. The National siteseabet betting and Reform Commission said that regulation has achieved significant results.
Data display, with11Month month comparison,18Growing main vegetables15kind of siteseabet betting fell,9The magnitude of the decline exceeds13%. (Reporter Zhou Yu)
■News Analysis
Excess liquidity, etc. leading to rising siteseabet betting
From "you play with beans" to "you are cruel with garlic",Back to "Jiang Nijun",Includes "Tang Gaozong"，“Coal is crazy”… coming this year，All kinds of siteseabet betting are soaring in turn，One wave after another，Analysis on various causes of rising siteseabet betting are flooding the sky at one time。This is it，The reporter interviewed many macroeconomists。They expressed their opinions one after another，The root cause is excess liquidity。
Director of the Key Laboratory of Finance, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences、Introduced by Liu Yuhui, Director of China Economic Evaluation Center，China’s transmission logic from currency to siteseabet betting inflation is very clear，It’s currency-asset bubble-siteseabet betting。
Xu Kunlin, Director of the siteseabet betting Supervision and Inspection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, also told the media，Excess liquidity in the market is also one of the reasons for rising prices。
Yesterday，Xu Kunlin, Director of the siteseabet betting Supervision and Inspection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, said in an interview，This round of siteseabet betting increases is more complicated，The main reasons include rising costs，Including rising labor costs，Resource、Land factor siteseabet betting rises；International input factors，Commodity prices rise；Excess liquidity in the market；And natural disasters，There is a lot of extreme bad weather this year，Some last longer，For some varieties，Like early rice、Cotton、The production of sugarcane and other crops still has an impact。Some small agricultural products，For example, vegetables are also greatly affected。The other thing is the problem of hype，The hype is mainly concentrated on cotton、Mung Bean、These varieties of garlic。These factors add up to each other，Comprehensive effect。
Ma Guangyuan, a doctor of economics from the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, thinks，Examine the entire circulation of agricultural products，You will find out，The current siteseabet betting of vegetables and other agricultural products is rising rapidly，Basically not related to supply and demand，In addition to the speculation of hot money，What’s more important is that the cost of the entire circulation process is too high。
From the siteseabet betting composition of agricultural products, the siteseabet betting70%Left and right are produced in the circulation process，Therefore，To stabilize the current siteseabet betting of agricultural products，In addition to continuing to monitor the speculation of hot money，The main thing should be to reduce circulation costs、Work hard to reduce circulation costs。
It is reported，In view of the excessive cost of circulation and excessive charging of agricultural products in my country，The State Council requires that from2010Year12month1Starting from day，All toll roads are exempt from tolls for vehicles legally loaded with fresh agricultural products，And requires all regions to further standardize and reduce market stall fees and supermarket entry fees。Responses from all over the country，Reduction and exemption of market stall fees are being introduced、Supermarket entry fees and other measures。
Jinpeng Futures Yu Mengguo told reporters，my country’s siteseabet betting inflation is also affected by imported inflation。For example, my country’s oil dependence on foreign countries is relatively high、Soybeans、Cotton，International prices of these products have increased，Also has an impact on the domestic market。He said，Domestic raw material purchase prices are highly consistent with changes in international commodity prices。Especially like the rise in international crude oil prices，Directly linked to domestic refined oil prices，And the rise in oil prices，Will cause an increase in costs in the transportation industry，In turn affecting food、Medical、siteseabet betting increases in clothing and other industries。
Also，These interviewed experts said，Hot money speculation is undoubtedly an important driver of single siteseabet betting increases。A lot of hot money in society，After the state regulates the property market，Outflow from the property market；Due to national restrictions on the coal industry、Consolidation of the steel industry，Outflow from these industries；Enter the agricultural and sideline products market，Malicious hoarding and speculation of mung beans、Garlic、Ginger、Soybean oil, etc.。These capitals control the relationship between supply and demand，Raise the siteseabet betting。(Reporter Zhang Yan)
(Source: Beijing Times Jia玥）